Delivering goods and services to your customer’s door will always present challenges in terms of peaks and troughs, so smoothing workloads – that is, balancing the distribution of effort evenly over time as a function of production capacity in terms of available resources – is key to operating performance and profitability.
While managers and scheduling personnel juggle the many adjustments needed on a daily basis to enable them to satisfy a maximum number of customers, they also need to be able to take a medium-to-long term view if they are to take decisions in a timely manner – these might be decisions about administration, training, recruitment – and ensure an optimum match for the production capacity of their teams and the foreseeable workload.
There’s no way to predict the future with any degree of certainty, it’s true, but analysing the past is always a useful way to approach gaining insight into what makes the business ‘tick’, and so to programme realistic workload plans in the medium term. Before attempting any kind of workload smoothing, analysing your operating data history (for the year n-1, say) will allow you to identify the imbalances over time (peaks and troughs of activity, short-term or seasonal) and also any discrepancies between servicing capability on the part of your resources and workload (by agency, team, person, month, week…) and highlight over- or under-capacity.
Business data represented graphically, as generated by GEOCONCEPT with the
Imbalances in workloading shown graphically, prior to smoothing
This exploratory stage is critical, since the deviations and discrepancies it reveals are often indicative of the real problems you need to address as a matter of urgency, and resolving them may involve decisions that are fundamental to your business and your overall strategy, for example:
Using your operating data for the year N and/or N-1, your new scheduling tools will allow you to produce realistic forecasts for the year N+1/ and/or N+2 (or even more). Next, in applying your operating model to these forecasts, you can create simulations to test out different growth scenarios, or restructuring plans, including new staff members or reducing the headcount, depending on the results you obtain. These simulations should help you to see your way through the decision-making by giving answers to hard-headed questions:
When you configure your hypotheses in the solution, the business forecast it produces will take your strategic choices into account, but don’t forget: it is not yet optimized: it will highlight uneven distribution between resources or peaks of activity on some periods that you will need to correct. It is at this point that smoothing on workload comes into play. This operation needs
Optimized workloads, after smoothing